1/3, and 1/2? The fact is that roulette can only be described as a highly unsophisticated game. To the uninformed, “sporting guns” refer to anything with a barrel and a firing pin, and the fact that a particular game can be played at all is due to a combination of luck and skill.
There is no way of knowing how often it occurred over the years, though a few people have attempted to recreate it. Here then is the list of some well recorded examples, with the odds of success highlighted in bold, and a brief description:
1. “Lucky Strike” at The Sports Museum’s “Game of Luck”
You may not have heard of this one until recently. It happened in 2008, and was brought up during a lecture, and was discussed on Facebook when I was interviewed for a TV show. The game was played at The Sports Museum, in St. Catharines, ON Canada. The curator, Tony Loparello, said:
“The odds are about 1 in 1,000. . . when you use a pin instead of a gun, you have an advantage, and it turns it into a game of chance. The odds are 1 in 18,000 that you will win.”
The only thing that changed was that a pin was inserted instead of a gun in the pinhole. While Loparello did not explain in depth the details of the pin, the way in which it was inserted seems to indicate that he was able to use a trick to make the odds go up. This is one of the easiest games to play: the pin is inserted between the three edges of the card. When you make the bet, the odds are 1 in 60,000 that you will win. The only time you will not win is if you accidentally drop one of the sides of the card.
2. “Rumble with Roulette” by Dr. Robert G. Mathers
A few days before Christmas in 1936, an 18 year old boy from England was playing horseshoes at a golf course, when a piece of golf balls fell into his shoe. The boy had lost all belief in luck and decided to try luck on himself. He pulled the ball out, spun it, and spun it again, hoping that it might fly off. He was successful: it did fly off. When the ball hit the ground it bounced twice, falling into the ball. He did what he thought
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